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NXR Southwest By The NumbersPublished by
Nike Cross Regionals Southwest: By The Numbers States in the Southwest Region: 5 Colorado, Utah, New Mexico, Arizona and Nevada
BOYS States represented at NTN/NXN: Utah 21 times New Mexico 7 times Colorado 3 times *Wyoming one time - Wyoming was moved to the Nike Northwest in 2007 Arizona and Nevada have never qualified a team for Nike.
States with the longest streak, current: and Longest consecutive state streak all time: Utah for 9 years. 2008-16.
Number of at-large bids by the region: 5 2010 Davis UT 2014 Timpanogos UT 2015 Lone Peak UT and American Fork UT 2016 Springville UT
Current number of nationally ranked teams in the Southwest (as of 11/09/17): 5 No. 3 Springville UT No. 10 Desert Vista AZ No. 14 American Fork UT No. 23 Timpanogos UT No. 24 Mountain Vista CO
Number of different teams to qualify for NTN/NXN from the Southwest: 11
Teams with the most NTN/NXN appearances: American Fork 8 times Davis UT 6 times Albuquerque Academy NM 5 times Timpanogos UT 2 times Fort Collins CO 2 times Los Alamos NM 2 times Mountain View UT 2 times Springville UT, Mountain Vista CO, Lone Peak UT and Alta UT have qualified once.
Longest team streak appearances: and Longest current team streak of appearances: American Fork UT 8, 2009-16.
NTN/NXN Championships or highest finish: 2007 Los Alamos NM 2nd 2012 American Fork UT 2nd 2015 American Fork UT 2nd 2016 American Fork UT 2nd 2007 Albuquerque NM 3rd 2011 Davis UT 3rd
DyeStat preseason picks to qualify for NXN: Springville UT Timpanogos UT
Our Current Prediction: Springville UT Desert Vista AZ
Notes: Each of the past two years, the Nike Southwest has placed two teams in the top five at NXN. In each of the past three years, the Southwest has secured at least one at-large bid, with two at-large bids coming in 2015. Clearly the Southwest has solidified itself as one of the top regions in the country and the depth is there again this year with five teams in the national top 24. The order of the top five has stayed consistent all year long with Springville UT, Desert Vista AZ, American Fork UT, Timpanogos UT and Mountain Vista CO occupying those spots since the preseason rankings. It would be a big upset if the three podium spots didn’t come from those five teams Saturday in Casa Grande, Ariz. Springville UT won the Utah 5A championship and had a 1-5 runner average 23 seconds faster than its nearest competitor, 6A champion American Fork. Springville is the clear favorite, but there is an 80-second gap between its fifth and sixth runners and there is no margin for error in order for Springville to win. Desert Vista AZ is the pick for the second spot. An NXN bid would be the first for a team from Arizona. Packed behind Desert Vista is American Fork UT, Timpanogos UT and Mountain Vista CO, all with the firepower to win the region outright on a great day. The Nike Southwest is a bubble region for an at-large bid at this point even with the highly ranked teams. It will depend upon how the race plays out and the position of that third team. Given the rise of the Southeast and continued strength of New York, the Midwest and California, the only way a Southwest team can assure itself of a trip to Portland is to finish in the top two. One streak on the line is the eight straight NXN trips for American Fork, second in the nation only to Fayetteville-Manlius NY’s nine.
GIRLS States represented at NXN/NTN: Colorado 17 times Utah 9 times Arizona 5 times New Mexico 2 times Nevada has never qualified a team for Nike.
States with the longest streak, current: Arizona 3 years. 2014-16
Longest consecutive state streak all time: 7- Colorado 2007-13
Number of at-large bids by the region: 5 2012 Pine Creek CO 2013 Monarch CO 2014 Davis UT 2015 Davis UT 2016 Broomfield CO The Southwest Region received three bids to NTN in 2004 and 2005.
Current number of nationally ranked teams in the Southwest (as of 11/9/17): 3 Mountain Vista CO No. 10 Battle Mountain CO No. 15 Broomfield CO No. 16
Number of different teams to qualify for NTN/NXN from the Southwest: 17
Teams with the most NTN/NXN appearances: Fort Collins CO 7 times Davis UT 5 times Fremont UT 2 times Classical Academy CO 2 times Monarch CO 2 times Xavier College Prep AZ 2 times Desert Vista AZ 2 times American Fork UT 2 times Smoky Hill CO, Los Alamos NM, Rocky Mountain CO, Fairview CO, Eldorado NM, Sandra Day O'Connor AZ, Pine Creek CO, Broomfield CO and Mountain Vista CO have qualified once.
Longest team streak appearances: Fort Collins CO 7 2007-13.
Longest current team streak of appearances: 1 – Desert Vista AZ 2016. 1 – Broomfield CO 2016.
NXN/NTN Championships or highest finish: Smoky Hill CO 2nd 2004 Fort Collins CO 3rd 2009 Davis UT 3rd 2013
Our preseason picks to qualify for NXN: Broomfield CO Battle Mountain CO
Our Current Prediction: Mountain Vista CO Battle Mountain CO
Notes: This appears to be a strong year for Colorado. The state has the three top teams in the Southwest Region, led by Mountain Vista. The Golden Eagles are currently ranked No. 10 in the nation, but could move up with a good performance at the NXR Southwest Regional. Not too far behind Mountain Vista is 4A champion Battle Mountain and 5A runner-up Broomfield. The two teams, despite competing in different races at the Colorado State meet, had nearly identical performances. Either team could take the second automatic berth for NXN. Outside of Colorado, there are several teams from Utah that could factor into the top Southwest Region spots. Pleasant Grove came away the winner at the Utah 6A State meet. But several other teams could factor in, including Pine View, Skyline and American Fork. Chandler AZ is another team that could finish in the top five Saturday. Despite season-ending injuries to two of its usual top five runners, Chandler still ran well enough to win the Arizona Division 1 State title, but the Wolves will really need to step up if they are going to challenge the teams from Colorado and Utah. More news |
