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Inside the Medal Chances - 2014 World Juniors - DyeStat

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DyeStat.com   Jul 20th 2014, 9:26pm
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World Juniors: Whitney has chance at double

 

By Doug Binder, DyeStat Editor


Athletes from all over the globe are arriving in Eugene and making final preparations for the IAAF World Junior Championships, which begin Tuesday and run through next Sunday.

There are 89 athletes on the U.S. team, including relay alternates.

Using the start lists released on Saturday, which are not the final start lists, here is a sneak peak at the medal chances of U.S. athletes (relays excluded):


Men's 100 meters: Trayvon Bromell, the NCAA champion from Baylor, is a clear favorite in this event, which has 47 countries entered. Bromell broke the World Junior record in this event when he ran 9.97. His chief competition should come from Yoshihide Kiryu of Japan (10.01 PR), Anguilla's Zharnel Hughes (10.12) and Jamaicans Jevaughn Minzie (10.16) and Michael O'Hara (10.19).


Men's 200 meters: If Trentavis Friday runs like he did at U.S. Juniors, no one should be able to cactch him. Friday ran 20.03, although that time was wind-aided. He has a legal best of 20.33. Hughes, of Anguilla, owns the top qualification time of 20.32. Jamaicans Minzie, O'Hara and U.S. prep Kendal Williams all look like good bets to make the final.


Men's 400 meters: Machel Cedenio of Trinidad and Tobago has run 45.23, making him the gold-medal favorite in this event. There are some challengers, however, and Tyler Brown of Eastern Michigan has run 45.74. Bahrain, Jamaica, Japan and South Africa all have athletes who have run in the 45s.


Men's 800 meters: Kenyan duo Alfred Kipketer (1:45.67) and Joshua Tiampati Masikonde (1:45.85) have both run sub-1:46. And Nikolaus Franzmair of Austria and Mamush Lencha of Ethopia are the only other two in the field who have PRs in the 1:46s.


Men's 1,500 meters: The medals are most likely to come from Kenya and Morroco. Hillary Cheruiyot Ngetich has run 3:35.87 -- by far the fastest of anyone in the field -- but his season best is 3:40.26. Moroccan Hassan Ghachoui has run 3:38.56.


Men's 5,000 and 10,000 meters: For the most part, these races figure to be dominated by Kenyan and Ethiopian athletes. The 10K, though, could go to Uganda's Joshua Cheptegei, who has run 27:56.26. 


Men's 3,000 steeplechase: Bailey Roth be able to chase the U.S. high school record of 8:50 but it will take so much more to medal in this event. The two Kenyan entrants have both run in the 8:20s and so has one of the Ethiopians.


Men's 110 hurdles: Nick Anderson and Misana Viltz could be very competitive in this event but the overall favorites appear to be Wilhelm Belocian of France (13.15), David Omoregie of Great Britian (13.17) and Tyler Mason of Jamaica (13.25). So even if NCAA and U.S. champion Devon Allen had been eligible for the U.S., he may have had his hands full.


Men's 400 hurdles: Timothy Holmes and Kenny Selmon should be competitive for medals in this event that has historically been very good for the U.S. But the favorite appears to be Jahleel Hyde of Jamaica, who has run 49.49.


Men's High Jump: Andrei Skabeika has cleared 7-5, making him the favorite. But just a centimeter back are a pair of Russians, a German and a Brit. High schoolers Landon Bartel and Jonathan Wells need to PR in order to get into contention.


Men's Pole Vault: Alex Chappelle of France has cleared 18-1.25 and goes in as the favorite. Harry Coppell of Britian, Oleg Zernikel of Germany and Bokei Huang of China are next, and New Balance Nationals Indoors/Outdoors champion Devin King of Kentwood, La. is seeded fifth.


Men's Long Jump: Travonn White of the U.S. is seeded second behind Jianan Wang of China, who has a best of 26-6.75.


Men's Triple Jump: Lazaro Martinez of Cuba has jumped 56-6.75 and is easily the gold medal favorite. There are a lot of other athletes with PRs over 16 meters which means Americans Hayden McClain and John Warren are underdogs to reach the finals.


Men's Shot Put: Mostafa Amr Ahmed of Egypt and Konrad Bukowiecki of Poland have the top two marks coming in but Braheme Days is not far back in third. Days, from UCLA, was a prep standout in New Jersey.


Men's Discus: Kord Ferguson of Ottawa, Kansas has thrown 201 feet and could get into medal contention. But there are eight guys in the field who have thrown farther, including top seed Sven Martin Skagestad of Norway (215-5).


Men's Hammer: Ashraf Amgad Elseify of Qatar leads the field with a whopping throw of 280 feet. The talent in this field is probably too deep for the U.S. to think about medaling.


Men's Javelin: Matija Muhar of Slovenia has thrown 247-3 and is the top entrant, with Shu Mori of Japan and Pieter Kriel of South Africa close behind. Curtis Thompson of the U.S. would need lifetime best throws to make the finals.


Men's decathlon: Harrison Williams of Memphis U. HS in Tennesee comes in with the sixth-best score among the decathletes with 7,734 points. The leader is Jiri Sykora of the Czech Rebuplic with 8,047.


Men's 10K Racewalk: Nikolay Markov of Russia (39:55) and Diego Garcia of Spain (40:10) appear to be the top two athletes in the field.


Women's 100 meters: Kaylin Whitney is the fastest qualifier and if she can duplicate her high school record of 11.10, it may be good enough for the gold medal. The competition will come from Britain, with Dina Asher-Smith (11.14) and Desiree Henry (11.23), Ecuador's Angela Tenorio (11.25), Jamaica's Jonielle Smith (11.32), and fellow Americans Ariana Washington (11.22) and Teahna Daniels (11.31).


Women's 200 meters: There's nobody near Whitney's 22.49 (it's No. 8 in the world this year), so there is a chance she could double medal. Asher-Smith and Irene Ekelund of Sweden could be her biggest challengers.


Women's 400 meters: Kendall Baisden could win the gold medal here. She has the top time at 50.46, putting the Texas freshman in the lead position. Olivia Baker will probably need another PR in order to get into medal position but it's a possiblity. Baker is the fifth-fastest coming in. Another familiar name to look for is Kadecia Baird, who is running for Guyana. She prepped at Medgar Evers in New York and just completed her freshman year at Nebraska.


Women's 800 meters: U.S. entrants Raevyn Rogers and Sabrina Southerland could be very competitive here, but the eye-catching top seed is Sahily Diago, who has run 1:57.74. Iceland's Anita Hinriksdottir is another medal contender.


Women's 1,500 meters: This is a big one for fans of U.S. high school track and field. Alexa Efraimson and Elise Cranny rank 2 and 3 all-time in this event as preps. There are three Ethiopians listed with faster times that Efraimson's 4:07.05, but she is ahead of everyone else. Dawit Seyaum of Ethiopia has run 3:59.53. Efraimson and Cranny may be hoping for a race that allows them to kick at the end -- and take their chances against anybody.


Women's 3,000/5,000 meters: Mary Cain will go head to head with a few top peers from Kenya and Ethiopia, which could produce a great race. Cain has run about 9 flat indoors. Berhan Demiesa has a PR of 9:00.06 and Lilian Kasait Rengeruk of Kenya has run 8:53.41. Poland's Sofia Ennaoui is a player, too, at 8:59.44. In the 5K, it's all Ethiopia vs. Kenya.


Women's 3,000 steeplechase: The U.S. women are not going to be much of a factor here. The top seed, Ruth Jebet of Bahrain, has run 9:27. That's about a minute faster than the Americans.


Women's 100 hurdles: There is a big opportunity for U.S. entrants Kendall Williams and Dior Hall to earn the gold and silver in this event. They have the top two times (12.87 and 13.00) coming in.


Women's 400 hurdles: We'll never know if Union Catholic freshman Sydney McLaughlin could have medaled here, but it does seem possible that she would have (she was too young to make the team). NCAA champion Shamier Little is the pre-meet favorite for the gold.


Women's High Jump: Ukraine's Iryna Geraschenko is the top entrant at 6-4.75 and Britain's Morgan Lake is next. The U.S. athletes have a steep slope to climb to make it out of the qualifying round.


Women's Pole Vault: High school record holder Desiree Freier of Texas is a legitimate medal contender. She'll be in competition for medals with Russian Alena Lutkovskaya, Robeilys Peinado of Venezuela and Eliza McCartney from New Zealand.


Women's Long Jump: Maryna Bekh of Ukraine has jumped 22-3 and is the gold medal favorite. Nigeria's Ese Brume is next at 21-11. The Americans, Quanesha Burks and Jazmin McCoy, need to pull out a big PR to reach the medal stand.


Women's Triple Jump: Keturah Orji of Mount Olive NJ may be one of the greatest high school jumpers in U.S. history but earning a medal here is going to be very difficult. The top entrant, Ana Peleteiro of Spain, has jumped 46-5.75. Orji's best mark is tied for eighth coming in.


Women's Shot Put: Gatorade high school athlete of the year Raven Saunders would surely like to add a medal to her storybook year and it does appear that she has a good chance. She comes in throwing well and ranked third, behind Turkey's Emel Dereli and China's Tianqian Guo.


Women's Discus: Yan Liang of China has the top mark in the field but Valarie Allman of Stanford is second on the list.


Women's Hammer: Al'ona Shamotina of Ukraine is the favorite, with competition coming from European powers like Hungary, Greece and France. It's a tall order for U.S. high school leader Haley Showalter to get up into that group.


Women's Javelin: Sofi Flinck of Sweden is the top athlete in the event with a top throw of 203 feet. The U.S. entrants are 30 feet -- at least -- short of that.


Women's Heptathlon: Cuba's Yorgelis Rodrigues (6,231) is the top entrant. U.S. junior champion Ashlee Moore and Shaina Burns should be in the middle of the field.


Women's 10K Race Walk: Anezka Drahotova of the Czech Republic has the top time of 43:40.



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