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NXN Team Projections - 12/2 - XC - DyeStat

Published by
DyeStat.com   Dec 2nd 2015, 7:32pm
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NXN Team Projections

(Order of finish)

 

Girls Championship (by Adam Kopet)


 

1. Manlius XC (Fayetteville-Manlius NY)

2. Temecula XC (Great Oak CA)

3. Davis XC (Davis Senior CA)

4. Kinetic (Saratoga Springs NY)

5. Lower Bucks XC (Pennsbury PA)

6. American Fork XC (American Fork UT)

7. Carmel XC (Carmel IN)

8. Naperville North XC (Naperville North IL)

9. Edina XC Club (Edina MN)

10. Willmar XC (Willmar MN)

11. Burke XC (Lake Braddock VA)

12. Centerville XC (Centerville OH)

13. NXC (Northville MI)

14. Thiells XC (North Rockland NY)

15. Bozeman XC (Bozeman MT)

16. Portland XC (Sunset OR)

17. Davis XC (Davis UT)

18. Blacksburg XC (Blacksburg VA)

19. Rhode Island (La Salle RI)

20. Phoenix XC (Xavier College Prep AZ)

21. Carroll XC (Southlake Carroll TX)

22. Kingwood XC (Kingwood TX)

 

 

Boys Championship (by Paul Schmitz)


 

1. Temecula XC (Great Oak CA)

2. Orland Park (Sandburg IL)

3. Hopkins XC (Hopkins MN)

4. Liverpool XC (Liverpool NY)

5. Dana Point XC (Dana Hills CA)

6. Downingtown XC (Downingtown West PA)

7. Timpanogos XC (Timpanogos UT)

8. Wayzata XC (Wayzata MN)

9. Woodlands XC (The Woodlands TX)

10. Edina XC (Edina MN)

11. American Fork XC (American Fork UT)

12. Manlius XC (Fayetteville-Manlius NY)

13. Denver XC (Mountain Vista CO)

14. Naperville XC (Neuqua Valley IL)

15. Lincroft XC (CBA NJ)

16. Marietta XC (Marietta GA)

17. La Grange XC (Lyons Township IL)

18. Central Oregon XC (Summit OR)

19. Lone Peak XC (Lone Peak UT)

20. Bozeman XC (Bozeman MT)

21. Orlando XC (Trinity Prep FL)

22. Carroll XC (Southlake Carroll TX) 



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1 comment(s)
Adam Kopet
A couple notes about the girls projections:

Fiona O'Keeffe (Davis Senior CA) has been injured, but still ran at state and is making the trip to Portland. However, if she is not able to race on Saturday, they will fall back. This projection was made with her running as Davis Senior's #5 runner.

The difference between Naperville North at No. 8 and Bozeman at No. 16 is small (41 points in one mock race). That's nine teams finishing within a couple points of each other. A single runner could have a major impact on the team scores and resulting team places.

These are projections based on recent performance data, focusing on the results of each team's last two meets. I would be shocked if this was the order of finish on Saturday, especially with the cluster of teams mentioned above. There is a reason we run the race.

Good luck to all the athletes racing this weekend.
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